7

Does the Going Make a Difference to How Favourites Run?

Yes. However not as the masses think.

Most folk are under the impression that heavy going results in less winning Favourites. This is not the case, look at the stats below:

Going Run Win SR P/L BF ROI BF
Firm 469 172 36.67 -15.11 -3.22
Good 9789 2984 30.48 -400.33 -4.09
Good To Firm 7310 2400 32.83 -10.92 -0.15
Good To Soft 4704 1483 31.53 -91.28 -1.94
Heavy 1738 597 34.35 -46.14 -2.65
Slow 51 20 39.22 -0.5 -0.98
Soft 5271 1701 32.27 -331.52 -6.29
Standard 7382 2334 31.62 -303.48 -4.11

GOOD ground has the worst SR of all the possible goings, and HEAVY doesn’t look so bad. However, for profitability the going that gives you the best advantage is GOOD TO FIRM with a lowely negative ROI of 0.15%

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